MAHINDRA Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

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MHRIL -- India Stock  

INR 167.70  4.65  2.85%

MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Please specify MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS odds to be computed. Additionally, see MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS Backtesting, MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS Valuation, MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS Correlation, MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS Hype Analysis, MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS Volatility, MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS History as well as MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS Performance.
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MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 167.70 30 days 167.70 
about 53.36
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 53.36 (This MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS probability density function shows the probability of MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS has beta of -0.0275 indicating as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS is significantly underperforming DOW.
 MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=-0.31
β
Beta against DOW=-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
=41.41
Ir
Information ratio =-0.04

MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS Alerts and Suggestions

MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported revenue of 23.72 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.32 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.13 B.
About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

MAHINDRA HOLIDAYSPrice Density Drivers

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate4.00
Float Shares40.4M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day163.46k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month66.35k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.40%
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