MAHINDRA Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 169.01

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MHRIL -- India Stock  

INR 176.90  2.10  1.17%

MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS Target Price Odds to finish below 169.01

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  169.01  or more in 30 days
 176.90 30 days 169.01 
about 82.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS to drop to  169.01  or more in 30 days from now is about 82.85 (This MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS probability density function shows the probability of MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS price to stay between  169.01  and its current price of 176.9 at the end of the 30-day period is about 9.05 .
Assuming the 30 trading days horizon, MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS has a beta of 0.35. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2993, implying that it can potentially generate 0.3% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.35
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.026503

MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS Alerts and Suggestions

MAHINDRA HOLIDAYS appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported revenue of 23.72 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.32 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.13 B.
About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

MAHINDRA HOLIDAYSPrice Density Drivers

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate4.00
Float Shares40.4M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day96.86k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month68.51k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.22%
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