Mirland Development (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 144.8155

MLD Stock   0.02  0.00  0.00%   
Mirland Development's future price is the expected price of Mirland Development instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mirland Development performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mirland Development Backtesting, Mirland Development Valuation, Mirland Development Correlation, Mirland Development Hype Analysis, Mirland Development Volatility, Mirland Development History as well as Mirland Development Performance.
  
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Mirland Development Target Price Odds to finish below 144.8155

The tendency of Mirland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  144.82  after 90 days
 0.02 90 days 144.82 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mirland Development to stay under  144.82  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Mirland Development probability density function shows the probability of Mirland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mirland Development price to stay between its current price of  0.02  and  144.82  at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mirland Development has a beta of -5.81. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Mirland Development are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Mirland Development is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Mirland Development has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Mirland Development Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mirland Development

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mirland Development. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mirland Development's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0218.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0218.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.020.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mirland Development. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mirland Development's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mirland Development's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mirland Development.

Mirland Development Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mirland Development is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mirland Development's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mirland Development, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mirland Development within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-3.24
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-5.81
σ
Overall volatility
7.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Mirland Development Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mirland Development for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mirland Development can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mirland Development generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mirland Development has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mirland Development has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mirland Development has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Mirland Development has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 243.66 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 310.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Mirland Development has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mirland Development until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mirland Development's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mirland Development sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mirland to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mirland Development's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 24.46 M. Net Loss for the year was (70.74 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.3 M.

Mirland Development Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mirland Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mirland Development's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mirland Development's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float9.5 M

Mirland Development Technical Analysis

Mirland Development's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mirland Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mirland Development. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mirland Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mirland Development Predictive Forecast Models

Mirland Development's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mirland Development's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mirland Development's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mirland Development

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mirland Development for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mirland Development help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mirland Development generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mirland Development has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mirland Development has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mirland Development has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Mirland Development has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 243.66 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 310.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Mirland Development has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mirland Development until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mirland Development's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mirland Development sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mirland to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mirland Development's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 24.46 M. Net Loss for the year was (70.74 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.3 M.
Check out Mirland Development Backtesting, Mirland Development Valuation, Mirland Development Correlation, Mirland Development Hype Analysis, Mirland Development Volatility, Mirland Development History as well as Mirland Development Performance.
Note that the Mirland Development information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mirland Development's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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When running Mirland Development's price analysis, check to measure Mirland Development's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mirland Development is operating at the current time. Most of Mirland Development's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mirland Development's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mirland Development's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mirland Development to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Mirland Development's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mirland Development is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mirland Development's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.