Marsh Mclennan Companies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 82.9

MMC Stock  USD 205.98  0.37  0.18%   
Marsh McLennan's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Marsh McLennan Companies. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Marsh McLennan based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Marsh McLennan Companies over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $210.0 is a CALL option contract on Marsh McLennan's common stock with a strick price of 210.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:38:52 for $1.35 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.5, and an ask price of $1.8. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 15.89. View All Marsh options

Closest to current price Marsh long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Marsh McLennan's future price is the expected price of Marsh McLennan instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Marsh McLennan Companies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Marsh McLennan Backtesting, Marsh McLennan Valuation, Marsh McLennan Correlation, Marsh McLennan Hype Analysis, Marsh McLennan Volatility, Marsh McLennan History as well as Marsh McLennan Performance.
  
At present, Marsh McLennan's Price Book Value Ratio is projected to slightly grow based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 1.07, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 15.40. Please specify Marsh McLennan's target price for which you would like Marsh McLennan odds to be computed.

Marsh McLennan Target Price Odds to finish below 82.9

The tendency of Marsh Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 82.90  or more in 90 days
 205.98 90 days 82.90 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marsh McLennan to drop to $ 82.90  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Marsh McLennan Companies probability density function shows the probability of Marsh Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marsh McLennan Companies price to stay between $ 82.90  and its current price of $205.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.56 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Marsh McLennan has a beta of 0.21. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Marsh McLennan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Marsh McLennan Companies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Marsh McLennan Companies has an alpha of 0.1179, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Marsh McLennan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Marsh McLennan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marsh McLennan Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Marsh McLennan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
204.81205.67206.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
185.32186.18226.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
203.37204.23205.09
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
187.30205.82228.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Marsh McLennan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Marsh McLennan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Marsh McLennan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Marsh McLennan Companies.

Marsh McLennan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marsh McLennan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marsh McLennan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marsh McLennan Companies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marsh McLennan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.21
σ
Overall volatility
6.36
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Marsh McLennan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marsh McLennan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marsh McLennan Companies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Marsh McLennan has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of February 2024 Marsh McLennan paid $ 0.71 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Heres How Much You Would Have Made Owning Marsh McLennan Stock In The Last 10 Years

Marsh McLennan Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marsh Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marsh McLennan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marsh McLennan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding499 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.4 B

Marsh McLennan Technical Analysis

Marsh McLennan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marsh Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marsh McLennan Companies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marsh Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Marsh McLennan Predictive Forecast Models

Marsh McLennan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Marsh McLennan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marsh McLennan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Marsh McLennan Companies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Marsh McLennan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marsh McLennan Companies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Marsh McLennan has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of February 2024 Marsh McLennan paid $ 0.71 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Heres How Much You Would Have Made Owning Marsh McLennan Stock In The Last 10 Years
When determining whether Marsh McLennan Companies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Marsh McLennan's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Marsh Mclennan Companies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Marsh Mclennan Companies Stock:
Check out Marsh McLennan Backtesting, Marsh McLennan Valuation, Marsh McLennan Correlation, Marsh McLennan Hype Analysis, Marsh McLennan Volatility, Marsh McLennan History as well as Marsh McLennan Performance.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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Is Marsh McLennan's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marsh McLennan. If investors know Marsh will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marsh McLennan listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.643
Dividend Share
2.72
Earnings Share
7.52
Revenue Per Share
46.024
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.106
The market value of Marsh McLennan Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marsh that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marsh McLennan's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marsh McLennan's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marsh McLennan's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marsh McLennan's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marsh McLennan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marsh McLennan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marsh McLennan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.