Menora Miv (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4576.0

MMHD Stock  ILS 9,038  12.00  0.13%   
Menora Miv's future price is the expected price of Menora Miv instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Menora Miv Hld performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Menora Miv Backtesting, Menora Miv Valuation, Menora Miv Correlation, Menora Miv Hype Analysis, Menora Miv Volatility, Menora Miv History as well as Menora Miv Performance.
  
Please specify Menora Miv's target price for which you would like Menora Miv odds to be computed.

Menora Miv Target Price Odds to finish below 4576.0

The tendency of Menora Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to S 4,576  or more in 90 days
 9,038 90 days 4,576 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Menora Miv to drop to S 4,576  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Menora Miv Hld probability density function shows the probability of Menora Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Menora Miv Hld price to stay between S 4,576  and its current price of S9038.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Menora Miv Hld has a beta of -0.43. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Menora Miv are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Menora Miv Hld is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Menora Miv Hld has an alpha of 0.0526, implying that it can generate a 0.0526 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Menora Miv Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Menora Miv

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Menora Miv Hld. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Menora Miv's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9,0369,0389,040
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7,6677,6699,942
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9,0429,0449,045
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8,8918,9879,083
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Menora Miv. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Menora Miv's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Menora Miv's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Menora Miv Hld.

Menora Miv Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Menora Miv is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Menora Miv's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Menora Miv Hld, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Menora Miv within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.43
σ
Overall volatility
311.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Menora Miv Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Menora Miv for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Menora Miv Hld can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Menora Miv Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Menora Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Menora Miv's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Menora Miv's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding63.3 M

Menora Miv Technical Analysis

Menora Miv's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Menora Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Menora Miv Hld. In general, you should focus on analyzing Menora Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Menora Miv Predictive Forecast Models

Menora Miv's time-series forecasting models is one of many Menora Miv's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Menora Miv's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Menora Miv Hld

Checking the ongoing alerts about Menora Miv for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Menora Miv Hld help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Menora Miv Backtesting, Menora Miv Valuation, Menora Miv Correlation, Menora Miv Hype Analysis, Menora Miv Volatility, Menora Miv History as well as Menora Miv Performance.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

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When running Menora Miv's price analysis, check to measure Menora Miv's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Menora Miv is operating at the current time. Most of Menora Miv's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Menora Miv's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Menora Miv's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Menora Miv to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Menora Miv's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Menora Miv is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Menora Miv's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.