Mentor Capital Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.3

MNTR Stock  USD 0.05  0.01  25.00%   
Mentor Capital's future price is the expected price of Mentor Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mentor Capital performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mentor Capital Backtesting, Mentor Capital Valuation, Mentor Capital Correlation, Mentor Capital Hype Analysis, Mentor Capital Volatility, Mentor Capital History as well as Mentor Capital Performance.
  
Please specify Mentor Capital's target price for which you would like Mentor Capital odds to be computed.

Mentor Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 0.3

The tendency of Mentor OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.30  after 90 days
 0.05 90 days 0.30 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mentor Capital to stay under $ 0.30  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Mentor Capital probability density function shows the probability of Mentor OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mentor Capital price to stay between its current price of $ 0.05  and $ 0.30  at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.7 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.77 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Mentor Capital will likely underperform. Additionally Mentor Capital has an alpha of 0.4665, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mentor Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mentor Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mentor Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mentor Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0513.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0413.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.0513.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.050.050.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mentor Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mentor Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mentor Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mentor Capital.

Mentor Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mentor Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mentor Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mentor Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mentor Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.47
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.77
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Mentor Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mentor Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mentor Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mentor Capital is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Mentor Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mentor Capital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.01 M. Net Loss for the year was (272.85 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.87 M.
Mentor Capital currently holds about 698.77 K in cash with (215.67 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.

Mentor Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mentor OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mentor Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mentor Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.9 M

Mentor Capital Technical Analysis

Mentor Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mentor OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mentor Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mentor OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mentor Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Mentor Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mentor Capital's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mentor Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mentor Capital

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mentor Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mentor Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mentor Capital is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Mentor Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mentor Capital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.01 M. Net Loss for the year was (272.85 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.87 M.
Mentor Capital currently holds about 698.77 K in cash with (215.67 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.

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When running Mentor Capital's price analysis, check to measure Mentor Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mentor Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Mentor Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mentor Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mentor Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mentor Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Mentor Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mentor Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mentor Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.