MOTHERSON Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

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MOTHERSUMI -- India Stock  

INR 96.15  1.55  1.59%

MOTHERSON SUMI probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside potential and downside risk of MOTHERSON SUMI SYSTEMS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Please specify MOTHERSON SUMI time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like MOTHERSON SUMI odds to be computed. Additionally, see MOTHERSON SUMI Backtesting, MOTHERSON SUMI Valuation, MOTHERSON SUMI Correlation, MOTHERSON SUMI Hype Analysis, MOTHERSON SUMI Volatility, MOTHERSON SUMI History as well as MOTHERSON SUMI Performance.
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MOTHERSON SUMI Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 30 days
 96.15 30 days 96.15 
about 21.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MOTHERSON SUMI to move above the current price in 30 days from now is about 21.88 (This MOTHERSON SUMI SYSTEMS probability density function shows the probability of MOTHERSON SUMI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming the 30-days trading horizon, MOTHERSON SUMI has a beta of 0.41. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MOTHERSON SUMI average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MOTHERSON SUMI SYSTEMS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover The company has an alpha of 1.4092, implying that it can generate a 1.41 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 MOTHERSON SUMI Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=1.41
β
Beta against DOW=0.41
σ
Overall volatility
=15.23
Ir
Information ratio =0.1

MOTHERSON SUMI Alerts and Suggestions

MOTHERSON SUMI has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

MOTHERSON SUMIPrice Density Drivers

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.50
Float Shares1.18B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.13M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.14M
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.56%
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