|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move above current price in 30 days|
| 127.15 ||30 days|| 127.15 || ABOUT 14.67%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of MTB40 61 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 14.67% (This MTB40-61 probability density function shows the probability of MTB40 61 ETF to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, MTB40-61 has beta of -0.193 indicating as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding MTB40 61 are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, MTB40-61 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MTB40-61 has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
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