|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move above current price in 30 days|
| 127.15 ||30 days|| 127.15 || ABOUT 21.59%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of MTB40 61 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 21.59% (This MTB40-61 probability density function shows the probability of MTB40 61 ETF to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, MTB40 61 has beta of 0.0555 indicating as returns on market go up, MTB40 61 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding MTB40-61 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MTB40-61 has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW