Mainstay Tax Free Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.31
| MTBAX Fund | USD 9.31 0.02 0.21% |
Mainstay |
Mainstay Tax Target Price Odds to finish over 10.31
The tendency of Mainstay Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 10.31 or more in 90 days |
| 9.31 | 90 days | 10.31 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mainstay Tax to move over $ 10.31 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Mainstay Tax Free probability density function shows the probability of Mainstay Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mainstay Tax Free price to stay between its current price of $ 9.31 and $ 10.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.54 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mainstay Tax has a beta of 0.0674. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mainstay Tax average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mainstay Tax Free will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mainstay Tax Free has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Mainstay Tax Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mainstay Tax
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mainstay Tax Free. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mainstay Tax's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mainstay Tax Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mainstay Tax is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mainstay Tax's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mainstay Tax Free, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mainstay Tax within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.49 |
Mainstay Tax Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mainstay Tax for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mainstay Tax Free can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Mainstay Tax Free maintains about 14.05% of its assets in cash |
Mainstay Tax Technical Analysis
Mainstay Tax's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mainstay Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mainstay Tax Free. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mainstay Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mainstay Tax Predictive Forecast Models
Mainstay Tax's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mainstay Tax's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mainstay Tax's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mainstay Tax Free
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mainstay Tax for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mainstay Tax Free help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Mainstay Tax Free maintains about 14.05% of its assets in cash |
Check out Mainstay Tax Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Mainstay Tax Correlation, Mainstay Tax Hype Analysis, Mainstay Tax Volatility, Mainstay Tax History as well as Mainstay Tax Performance. Note that the Mainstay Tax Free information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mainstay Tax's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.