|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move above current price in 30 days|
| 7,584 ||30 days|| 7,584 || ABOUT 11.84%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of MTV SP1 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 11.84% (This MTV-SP1 probability density function shows the probability of MTV SP1 ETF to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, MTV SP1 has beta of 0.022 indicating as returns on market go up, MTV SP1 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding MTV-SP1 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MTV-SP1 has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
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