Manila Water Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 6.24
| MWTCY Stock | USD 9.00 0.00 0.00% |
Manila |
Manila Water Target Price Odds to finish over 6.24
The tendency of Manila Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 6.24 in 90 days |
| 9.00 | 90 days | 6.24 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Manila Water to stay above $ 6.24 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Manila Water probability density function shows the probability of Manila Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Manila Water price to stay between $ 6.24 and its current price of $9.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.34 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Manila Water has a beta of -1.0. This indicates Additionally Manila Water has an alpha of 0.2884, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Manila Water Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Manila Water
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Manila Water. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Manila Water's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Manila Water Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Manila Water is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Manila Water's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Manila Water, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Manila Water within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Manila Water Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Manila Water for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Manila Water can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Manila Water had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 66.08 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.07, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Manila Water has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Manila Water until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Manila Water's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Manila Water sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Manila to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Manila Water's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Manila Water has accumulated about 8.74 B in cash with (19.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 66.52, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Manila Water Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Manila Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Manila Water's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Manila Water's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.3 B |
Manila Water Technical Analysis
Manila Water's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Manila Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Manila Water. In general, you should focus on analyzing Manila Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Manila Water Predictive Forecast Models
Manila Water's time-series forecasting models is one of many Manila Water's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Manila Water's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Manila Water
Checking the ongoing alerts about Manila Water for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Manila Water help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Manila Water had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 66.08 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.07, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Manila Water has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Manila Water until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Manila Water's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Manila Water sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Manila to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Manila Water's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Manila Water has accumulated about 8.74 B in cash with (19.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 66.52, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Check out Manila Water Backtesting, Manila Water Valuation, Manila Water Correlation, Manila Water Hype Analysis, Manila Water Volatility, Manila Water History as well as Manila Water Performance. Note that the Manila Water information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Manila Water's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Manila Pink Sheet analysis
When running Manila Water's price analysis, check to measure Manila Water's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Manila Water is operating at the current time. Most of Manila Water's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Manila Water's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Manila Water's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Manila Water to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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