Mizrahi Tefahot (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7695.27

MZTF Stock   13,070  330.00  2.59%   
Mizrahi Tefahot's future price is the expected price of Mizrahi Tefahot instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mizrahi Tefahot performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mizrahi Tefahot Backtesting, Mizrahi Tefahot Valuation, Mizrahi Tefahot Correlation, Mizrahi Tefahot Hype Analysis, Mizrahi Tefahot Volatility, Mizrahi Tefahot History as well as Mizrahi Tefahot Performance.
  
Please specify Mizrahi Tefahot's target price for which you would like Mizrahi Tefahot odds to be computed.

Mizrahi Tefahot Target Price Odds to finish over 7695.27

The tendency of Mizrahi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  7,695  in 90 days
 13,070 90 days 7,695 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mizrahi Tefahot to stay above  7,695  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Mizrahi Tefahot probability density function shows the probability of Mizrahi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mizrahi Tefahot price to stay between  7,695  and its current price of 13070.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mizrahi Tefahot has a beta of 0.17. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mizrahi Tefahot average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mizrahi Tefahot will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mizrahi Tefahot has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Mizrahi Tefahot Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mizrahi Tefahot

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mizrahi Tefahot. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mizrahi Tefahot's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13,06813,07013,072
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12,93712,93914,377
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mizrahi Tefahot. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mizrahi Tefahot's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mizrahi Tefahot's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mizrahi Tefahot.

Mizrahi Tefahot Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mizrahi Tefahot is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mizrahi Tefahot's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mizrahi Tefahot, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mizrahi Tefahot within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.1
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.17
σ
Overall volatility
408.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Mizrahi Tefahot Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mizrahi Tefahot for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mizrahi Tefahot can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Mizrahi Tefahot Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mizrahi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mizrahi Tefahot's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mizrahi Tefahot's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding256.5 M

Mizrahi Tefahot Technical Analysis

Mizrahi Tefahot's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mizrahi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mizrahi Tefahot. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mizrahi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mizrahi Tefahot Predictive Forecast Models

Mizrahi Tefahot's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mizrahi Tefahot's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mizrahi Tefahot's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mizrahi Tefahot

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mizrahi Tefahot for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mizrahi Tefahot help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Complementary Tools for Mizrahi Stock analysis

When running Mizrahi Tefahot's price analysis, check to measure Mizrahi Tefahot's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mizrahi Tefahot is operating at the current time. Most of Mizrahi Tefahot's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mizrahi Tefahot's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mizrahi Tefahot's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mizrahi Tefahot to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Mizrahi Tefahot's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mizrahi Tefahot is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mizrahi Tefahot's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.