Netflix Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 290.02

NFLX Stock  USD 613.53  15.71  2.50%   
Netflix's future price is the expected price of Netflix instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Netflix performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Netflix Backtesting, Netflix Valuation, Netflix Correlation, Netflix Hype Analysis, Netflix Volatility, Netflix History as well as Netflix Performance.
For more information on how to buy Netflix Stock please use our How to Invest in Netflix guide.
  
At this time, Netflix's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to rise to 32.59 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 37.77 in 2024. Please specify Netflix's target price for which you would like Netflix odds to be computed.

Netflix Target Price Odds to finish over 290.02

The tendency of Netflix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 290.02  in 90 days
 613.53 90 days 290.02 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Netflix to stay above $ 290.02  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Netflix probability density function shows the probability of Netflix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Netflix price to stay between $ 290.02  and its current price of $613.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.44 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Netflix has a beta of 0.86. This indicates Netflix market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Netflix is expected to follow. Additionally Netflix has an alpha of 0.2377, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Netflix Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Netflix

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Netflix. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Netflix's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
611.52613.53615.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
552.18685.82687.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
611.76613.77615.78
Details
48 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
394.92433.98481.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Netflix. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Netflix's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Netflix's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Netflix.

Netflix Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Netflix is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Netflix's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Netflix, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Netflix within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.24
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.86
σ
Overall volatility
54.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Netflix Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Netflix for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Netflix can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Netflix is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gizmodo.com: John Bradley on Getting to Do Something He Never Did on Game of Thrones for 3 Body Problem

Netflix Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Netflix Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Netflix's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Netflix's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding449.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.1 B

Netflix Technical Analysis

Netflix's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Netflix Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Netflix. In general, you should focus on analyzing Netflix Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Netflix Predictive Forecast Models

Netflix's time-series forecasting models is one of many Netflix's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Netflix's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Netflix

Checking the ongoing alerts about Netflix for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Netflix help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Netflix is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gizmodo.com: John Bradley on Getting to Do Something He Never Did on Game of Thrones for 3 Body Problem
When determining whether Netflix offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Netflix's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Netflix Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Netflix Stock:
Check out Netflix Backtesting, Netflix Valuation, Netflix Correlation, Netflix Hype Analysis, Netflix Volatility, Netflix History as well as Netflix Performance.
For more information on how to buy Netflix Stock please use our How to Invest in Netflix guide.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Netflix Stock analysis

When running Netflix's price analysis, check to measure Netflix's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Netflix is operating at the current time. Most of Netflix's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Netflix's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Netflix's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Netflix to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
AI Investment Finder
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Is Netflix's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Netflix. If investors know Netflix will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Netflix listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
16.252
Earnings Share
12.02
Revenue Per Share
76.371
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.125
Return On Assets
0.0893
The market value of Netflix is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Netflix that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Netflix's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Netflix's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Netflix's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Netflix's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Netflix's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Netflix is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Netflix's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.