Norfolk Southern Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 171.24

NSC Stock  USD 251.72  4.50  1.82%   
Norfolk Southern's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Norfolk Southern. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Norfolk Southern based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Norfolk Southern over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $252.5 is a CALL option contract on Norfolk Southern's common stock with a strick price of 252.5 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 14:17:29 for $0.6 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.65, and an ask price of $1.0. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 22.3. View All Norfolk options

Closest to current price Norfolk long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Norfolk Southern's future price is the expected price of Norfolk Southern instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Norfolk Southern performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Norfolk Southern Backtesting, Norfolk Southern Valuation, Norfolk Southern Correlation, Norfolk Southern Hype Analysis, Norfolk Southern Volatility, Norfolk Southern History as well as Norfolk Southern Performance.
For information on how to trade Norfolk Stock refer to our How to Trade Norfolk Stock guide.
  
At present, Norfolk Southern's Price Book Value Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 17.72, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 25.89. Please specify Norfolk Southern's target price for which you would like Norfolk Southern odds to be computed.

Norfolk Southern Target Price Odds to finish over 171.24

The tendency of Norfolk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 171.24  in 90 days
 251.72 90 days 171.24 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Norfolk Southern to stay above $ 171.24  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Norfolk Southern probability density function shows the probability of Norfolk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Norfolk Southern price to stay between $ 171.24  and its current price of $251.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.55 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.53 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Norfolk Southern will likely underperform. Additionally Norfolk Southern has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Norfolk Southern Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Norfolk Southern

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Norfolk Southern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Norfolk Southern's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
249.76251.42253.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
217.64219.30276.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
243.54245.21246.87
Details
26 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
213.58234.70260.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Norfolk Southern. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Norfolk Southern's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Norfolk Southern's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Norfolk Southern.

Norfolk Southern Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Norfolk Southern is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Norfolk Southern's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Norfolk Southern, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Norfolk Southern within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.53
σ
Overall volatility
11.81
Ir
Information ratio -0.0031

Norfolk Southern Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Norfolk Southern for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Norfolk Southern can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 17.57 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.2, which is OK given its current industry classification. Norfolk Southern has a current ratio of 0.95, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Norfolk Southern until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Norfolk Southern's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Norfolk Southern sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Norfolk to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Norfolk Southern's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 78.0% of Norfolk Southern shares are owned by institutional investors
On 20th of February 2024 Norfolk Southern paid $ 1.35 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from aol.com: It wasnt just Ohio Report says vinyl chloride accidents happen often

Norfolk Southern Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Norfolk Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Norfolk Southern's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Norfolk Southern's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding227.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

Norfolk Southern Technical Analysis

Norfolk Southern's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Norfolk Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Norfolk Southern. In general, you should focus on analyzing Norfolk Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Norfolk Southern Predictive Forecast Models

Norfolk Southern's time-series forecasting models is one of many Norfolk Southern's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Norfolk Southern's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Norfolk Southern

Checking the ongoing alerts about Norfolk Southern for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Norfolk Southern help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 17.57 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.2, which is OK given its current industry classification. Norfolk Southern has a current ratio of 0.95, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Norfolk Southern until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Norfolk Southern's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Norfolk Southern sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Norfolk to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Norfolk Southern's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 78.0% of Norfolk Southern shares are owned by institutional investors
On 20th of February 2024 Norfolk Southern paid $ 1.35 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from aol.com: It wasnt just Ohio Report says vinyl chloride accidents happen often
When determining whether Norfolk Southern offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Norfolk Southern's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Norfolk Southern Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Norfolk Southern Stock:

Complementary Tools for Norfolk Stock analysis

When running Norfolk Southern's price analysis, check to measure Norfolk Southern's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Norfolk Southern is operating at the current time. Most of Norfolk Southern's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Norfolk Southern's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Norfolk Southern's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Norfolk Southern to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Is Norfolk Southern's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Norfolk Southern. If investors know Norfolk will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Norfolk Southern listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.32)
Dividend Share
5.4
Earnings Share
8.01
Revenue Per Share
53.574
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
The market value of Norfolk Southern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Norfolk that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Norfolk Southern's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Norfolk Southern's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Norfolk Southern's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Norfolk Southern's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Norfolk Southern's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Norfolk Southern is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Norfolk Southern's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.