Oracle Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 51.1

ORCL Stock  USD 125.27  1.20  0.95%   
Oracle's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Oracle. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Oracle based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Oracle over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $125.0 is a CALL option contract on Oracle's common stock with a strick price of 125.0 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:59:17 for $0.62 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.6, and an ask price of $0.72. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 17.91. View All Oracle options

Closest to current price Oracle long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Oracle's future price is the expected price of Oracle instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oracle performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Oracle Backtesting, Oracle Valuation, Oracle Correlation, Oracle Hype Analysis, Oracle Volatility, Oracle History as well as Oracle Performance.
For more information on how to buy Oracle Stock please use our How to buy in Oracle Stock guide.
  
At this time, Oracle's Price Book Value Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to rise to 21.96 this year, although the value of Price To Sales Ratio will most likely fall to 4.04. Please specify Oracle's target price for which you would like Oracle odds to be computed.

Oracle Target Price Odds to finish below 51.1

The tendency of Oracle Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 51.10  or more in 90 days
 125.27 90 days 51.10 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oracle to drop to $ 51.10  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Oracle probability density function shows the probability of Oracle Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oracle price to stay between $ 51.10  and its current price of $125.27 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.38 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Oracle will likely underperform. Additionally Oracle has an alpha of 0.097, implying that it can generate a 0.097 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Oracle Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oracle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oracle. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oracle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
122.86124.83126.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
105.05107.02137.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
120.19122.16124.13
Details
35 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
112.70123.85137.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oracle. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oracle's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oracle's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Oracle.

Oracle Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oracle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oracle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oracle, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oracle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.1
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.38
σ
Overall volatility
7.67
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Oracle Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oracle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oracle can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company currently holds 90.48 B in liabilities. Oracle has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Oracle until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Oracle's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Oracle sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Oracle to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Oracle's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Global Transportation Management System Market Analysis Forecast to 2029

Oracle Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oracle Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oracle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oracle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments10.2 B

Oracle Technical Analysis

Oracle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oracle Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oracle. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oracle Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oracle Predictive Forecast Models

Oracle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oracle's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oracle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Oracle

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oracle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oracle help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company currently holds 90.48 B in liabilities. Oracle has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Oracle until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Oracle's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Oracle sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Oracle to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Oracle's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Global Transportation Management System Market Analysis Forecast to 2029
When determining whether Oracle is a strong investment it is important to analyze Oracle's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Oracle's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Oracle Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Oracle Backtesting, Oracle Valuation, Oracle Correlation, Oracle Hype Analysis, Oracle Volatility, Oracle History as well as Oracle Performance.
For more information on how to buy Oracle Stock please use our How to buy in Oracle Stock guide.
Note that the Oracle information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Oracle's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

Complementary Tools for Oracle Stock analysis

When running Oracle's price analysis, check to measure Oracle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oracle is operating at the current time. Most of Oracle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oracle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oracle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oracle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Oracle's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oracle. If investors know Oracle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oracle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.25
Dividend Share
1.6
Earnings Share
3.79
Revenue Per Share
19.215
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.071
The market value of Oracle is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oracle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oracle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oracle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oracle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oracle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oracle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oracle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oracle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.