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OROSIL Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

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OROSMITHS -- India Stock  

INR 2.95  0.00  0.00%

OROSIL SMITHS probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of OROSIL SMITHS INDIA LTD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify OROSIL SMITHS time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like OROSIL SMITHS odds to be computed. Please check OROSIL SMITHS Backtesting, OROSIL SMITHS Valuation, OROSIL SMITHS Correlation, OROSIL SMITHS Hype Analysis, OROSIL SMITHS Volatility, OROSIL SMITHS History as well as OROSIL SMITHS Performance.
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OROSIL SMITHS Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 2.95 30 days 2.95 
close to 99
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of OROSIL SMITHS to move above current price in 30 days from now is close to 99 (This OROSIL SMITHS INDIA LTD probability density function shows the probability of OROSIL SMITHS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, OROSIL SMITHS has beta of 0.2518 . This implies as returns on market go up, OROSIL SMITHS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding OROSIL SMITHS INDIA LTD will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. OROSIL SMITHS INDIA is significantly underperforming DOW.
 OROSIL SMITHS Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.26
β
Beta against DOW=0.25
σ
Overall volatility
=0.08
Ir
Information ratio =0.21

OROSIL SMITHS Alerts and Suggestions

OROSIL SMITHS INDIA generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
OROSIL SMITHS INDIA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported revenue of 21.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.95 M.

OROSIL SMITHSPrice Density Drivers

Float Shares6.04M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month25