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Orphazyme Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

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ORPHA -- Denmark Stock  

DKK 83.20  1.00  1.19%

Orphazyme probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Orphazyme AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
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Please specify Orphazyme time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Orphazyme odds to be computed. Please check Orphazyme Backtesting, Orphazyme Valuation, Orphazyme Correlation, Orphazyme Hype Analysis, Orphazyme Volatility, Orphazyme History as well as Orphazyme Performance.
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Orphazyme Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 83.20 30 days 83.20 
about 78.5
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Orphazyme to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 78.5 (This Orphazyme AS probability density function shows the probability of Orphazyme Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Orphazyme AS has beta of -0.3366 . This implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Orphazyme are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Orphazyme AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2002 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2002% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Orphazyme Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.20
β
Beta against DOW=0.34
σ
Overall volatility
=19.92
Ir
Information ratio =0.039251

Orphazyme Alerts and Suggestions

Orphazyme AS has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
Net Loss for the year was (285.7 M).
The company has accumulated about 225.56 M in cash with (283.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 11.29.

OrphazymePrice Density Drivers

Float Shares13.72M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day126.01k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month127.59k
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