Public Service Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 61.95

PEG -- USA Stock  

USD 58.45  0.10  0.17%

Public Service probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Public Service Enterprise Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Public Service time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Public Service odds to be computed. Additionally take a look at Public Service Backtesting, Public Service Valuation, Public Service Correlation, Public Service Hype Analysis, Public Service Volatility, Public Service History as well as Public Service Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Public Service Target Price Odds to finish over 61.95

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 61.95  or more in 30 days
 58.45 30 days 61.95 
ABOUT 1.96%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Public Service to move over $ 61.95  or more in 30 days from now is about 1.96% (This Public Service Enterprise Group probability density function shows the probability of Public Service Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Public Service Enter price to stay between its current price of $ 58.45  and $ 61.95  at the end of the 30-day period is about 63.62%.
Considering 30-days investment horizon, Public Service has beta of 0.5482 . This implies as returns on market go up, Public Service average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Public Service Enterprise Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Public Service Enter is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Public Service Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.08
β
Beta against DOW=0.55
σ
Overall volatility
=1.42
Ir
Information ratio =0.06

Public Service Alerts and Suggestions

Public Service Enter generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Public Service Enter has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
The company has 16.04B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 108.6 . This implies that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Public Service Enter has Current Ratio of 0.77 suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due.
PUB ENTRPR GP has about 82M in cash with (1.04B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16.
Roughly 72.0% of Public Service shares are owned by institutional investors

Public ServicePrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out1.75%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.84
Short Percent Of Float1.76%
Float Shares504.55M
Shares Short Prior Month8.11M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.04M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.26M
Date Short InterestJuly 15, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.18%
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