Principal Finisterre Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    PFUBX -- USA Fund  

    USD 10.26  0.01  0.1%

    Principal Finisterre probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Principal Finisterre Uncons EM Bd P performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Principal Finisterre time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Principal Finisterre odds to be computed. Additionally take a look at Your Equity Center.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Principal Finisterre Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     10.26 30 days 10.26  ABOUT 35.04%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Principal Finisterre to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 35.04% (This Principal Finisterre Uncons EM Bd P probability density function shows the probability of Principal Finisterre Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Principal Finisterre has beta of 0.0086 . This implies as returns on market go up, Principal Finisterre average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Principal Finisterre Uncons EM Bd P will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Principal Finisterre Uncons EM Bd P has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     Principal Finisterre Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.01
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0086
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =3.57
    Ir
    Information ratio =1.01

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