PIMCO Foreign Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    PFUIX -- USA Fund  

    USD 9.54  0.00  0.00%

    PIMCO Foreign probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of PIMCO Foreign Bond I performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify PIMCO Foreign time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like PIMCO Foreign odds to be computed. Additionally take a look at Your Equity Center.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    PIMCO Foreign Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     9.54 30 days 9.54  ABOUT 82.48%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of PIMCO Foreign to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 82.48% (This PIMCO Foreign Bond I probability density function shows the probability of PIMCO Foreign Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, PIMCO Foreign Bond I has beta of -0.0824 . This implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding PIMCO Foreign are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, PIMCO Foreign Bond I is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PIMCO Foreign Bond I has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     PIMCO Foreign Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.06
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.08
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.044789
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.08

    PIMCO Foreign Alerts

    PIMCO Foreign Alerts and Suggestions

    PIMCO Foreign Bond is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    PIMCO Foreign Bond generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund maintains about 44.31% of its assets in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    PIMCO Foreign Health Indicators

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