Foreign Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.67

PFUIX Fund  USD 7.55  0.01  0.13%   
Foreign Bond's future price is the expected price of Foreign Bond instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Foreign Bond Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Foreign Bond Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Foreign Bond Correlation, Foreign Bond Hype Analysis, Foreign Bond Volatility, Foreign Bond History as well as Foreign Bond Performance.
  
Please specify Foreign Bond's target price for which you would like Foreign Bond odds to be computed.

Foreign Bond Target Price Odds to finish over 10.67

The tendency of Foreign Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.67  or more in 90 days
 7.55 90 days 10.67 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Foreign Bond to move over $ 10.67  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Foreign Bond Fund probability density function shows the probability of Foreign Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Foreign Bond Fund price to stay between its current price of $ 7.55  and $ 10.67  at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.02 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Foreign Bond has a beta of 0.3 indicating as returns on the market go up, Foreign Bond average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Foreign Bond Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Foreign Bond Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Foreign Bond Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Foreign Bond

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Foreign Bond Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Foreign Bond's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.127.477.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.477.567.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Foreign Bond. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Foreign Bond's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Foreign Bond's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Foreign Bond Fund.

Foreign Bond Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Foreign Bond is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Foreign Bond's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Foreign Bond Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Foreign Bond within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.30
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.45

Foreign Bond Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Foreign Bond for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Foreign Bond Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Foreign Bond Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Foreign Bond Fund generated five year return of -2.0%
This fund maintains about 20.64% of its assets in cash

Foreign Bond Technical Analysis

Foreign Bond's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Foreign Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Foreign Bond Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Foreign Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Foreign Bond Predictive Forecast Models

Foreign Bond's time-series forecasting models is one of many Foreign Bond's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Foreign Bond's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Foreign Bond Fund

Checking the ongoing alerts about Foreign Bond for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Foreign Bond Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Foreign Bond Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Foreign Bond Fund generated five year return of -2.0%
This fund maintains about 20.64% of its assets in cash
Check out Foreign Bond Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Foreign Bond Correlation, Foreign Bond Hype Analysis, Foreign Bond Volatility, Foreign Bond History as well as Foreign Bond Performance.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Complementary Tools for Foreign Mutual Fund analysis

When running Foreign Bond's price analysis, check to measure Foreign Bond's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Foreign Bond is operating at the current time. Most of Foreign Bond's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Foreign Bond's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Foreign Bond's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Foreign Bond to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Foreign Bond's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Foreign Bond is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Foreign Bond's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.