Pacific Funds Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

PFWDX -- USA Fund  

USD 11.50  0.01  0.09%

Pacific Funds probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Pacific Funds Small Cap Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Pacific Funds time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Pacific Funds odds to be computed. Additionally take a look at Pacific Funds Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Pacific Funds Correlation, Pacific Funds Hype Analysis, Pacific Funds Volatility, Pacific Funds History as well as Pacific Funds Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Pacific Funds Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 11.50 30 days 11.50 
about 45.73
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Pacific Funds to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 45.73 (This Pacific Funds Small Cap Growth probability density function shows the probability of Pacific Funds Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Pacific Funds Small Cap Growth has beta of -0.0877 . This implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Pacific Funds are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Pacific Funds Small Cap Growth is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Pacific Funds Small is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Pacific Funds Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.05
β
Beta against DOW=0.09
σ
Overall volatility
=0.28
Ir
Information ratio =0.02

Pacific Funds Alerts and Suggestions

Pacific Funds Small generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Howey Gregory B of 516 shares of Rogers subject to Rule 16b-3
The fund maintains 97.88% of its assets in stocks

Pacific FundsPrice Density Drivers

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