Plaza Centers (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0

PLAZ Stock  ILS 267.40  2.60  0.96%   
Plaza Centers' future price is the expected price of Plaza Centers instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Plaza Centers NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Plaza Centers Backtesting, Plaza Centers Valuation, Plaza Centers Correlation, Plaza Centers Hype Analysis, Plaza Centers Volatility, Plaza Centers History as well as Plaza Centers Performance.
  
Please specify Plaza Centers' target price for which you would like Plaza Centers odds to be computed.

Plaza Centers Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0

The tendency of Plaza Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above S 0.00  in 90 days
 267.40 90 days 0.00 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Plaza Centers to stay above S 0.00  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Plaza Centers NV probability density function shows the probability of Plaza Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Plaza Centers NV price to stay between S 0.00  and its current price of S267.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Plaza Centers NV has a beta of -0.14 indicating as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Plaza Centers are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Plaza Centers NV is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Plaza Centers NV has an alpha of 1.0351, implying that it can generate a 1.04 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Plaza Centers Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Plaza Centers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Plaza Centers NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Plaza Centers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
261.71267.40273.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
203.22208.91294.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
266.89272.57278.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
267.40267.40267.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Plaza Centers. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Plaza Centers' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Plaza Centers' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Plaza Centers NV.

Plaza Centers Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Plaza Centers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Plaza Centers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Plaza Centers NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Plaza Centers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
1.04
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
54.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Plaza Centers Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Plaza Centers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Plaza Centers NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Plaza Centers NV is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Plaza Centers NV appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Plaza Centers NV has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 305.82 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 712.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Plaza Centers NV has a current ratio of 0.22, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Plaza Centers until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Plaza Centers' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Plaza Centers NV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Plaza to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Plaza Centers' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (54.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Plaza Centers Technical Analysis

Plaza Centers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Plaza Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Plaza Centers NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Plaza Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Plaza Centers Predictive Forecast Models

Plaza Centers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Plaza Centers' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Plaza Centers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Plaza Centers NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Plaza Centers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Plaza Centers NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Plaza Centers NV is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Plaza Centers NV appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Plaza Centers NV has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 305.82 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 712.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Plaza Centers NV has a current ratio of 0.22, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Plaza Centers until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Plaza Centers' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Plaza Centers NV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Plaza to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Plaza Centers' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (54.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Check out Plaza Centers Backtesting, Plaza Centers Valuation, Plaza Centers Correlation, Plaza Centers Hype Analysis, Plaza Centers Volatility, Plaza Centers History as well as Plaza Centers Performance.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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When running Plaza Centers' price analysis, check to measure Plaza Centers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Plaza Centers is operating at the current time. Most of Plaza Centers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Plaza Centers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Plaza Centers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Plaza Centers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Plaza Centers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Plaza Centers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Plaza Centers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.