Palram (Israel) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2201.9

PLRM Stock  ILS 4,990  45.00  0.89%   
Palram's future price is the expected price of Palram instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Palram performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Palram Backtesting, Palram Valuation, Palram Correlation, Palram Hype Analysis, Palram Volatility, Palram History as well as Palram Performance.
  
Please specify Palram's target price for which you would like Palram odds to be computed.

Palram Target Price Odds to finish over 2201.9

The tendency of Palram Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above S 2,202  in 90 days
 4,990 90 days 2,202 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Palram to stay above S 2,202  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Palram probability density function shows the probability of Palram Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Palram price to stay between S 2,202  and its current price of S4990.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Palram has a beta of 0.56 indicating as returns on the market go up, Palram average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Palram will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Palram has an alpha of 0.4558, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Palram Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Palram

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Palram. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Palram's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,9874,9904,993
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,4915,5425,545
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Palram. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Palram's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Palram's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Palram.

Palram Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Palram is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Palram's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Palram, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Palram within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.46
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.56
σ
Overall volatility
474.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Palram Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Palram for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Palram can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Palram Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Palram Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Palram's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Palram's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.7 M

Palram Technical Analysis

Palram's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Palram Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Palram. In general, you should focus on analyzing Palram Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Palram Predictive Forecast Models

Palram's time-series forecasting models is one of many Palram's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Palram's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Palram

Checking the ongoing alerts about Palram for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Palram help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Palram Backtesting, Palram Valuation, Palram Correlation, Palram Hype Analysis, Palram Volatility, Palram History as well as Palram Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

Complementary Tools for Palram Stock analysis

When running Palram's price analysis, check to measure Palram's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Palram is operating at the current time. Most of Palram's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Palram's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Palram's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Palram to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Palram's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Palram is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Palram's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.