Polygon L (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2301.81

POLY Stock  ILS 3,594  55.00  1.51%   
Polygon L's future price is the expected price of Polygon L instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Polygon L performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Polygon L Backtesting, Polygon L Valuation, Polygon L Correlation, Polygon L Hype Analysis, Polygon L Volatility, Polygon L History as well as Polygon L Performance.
  
Please specify Polygon L's target price for which you would like Polygon L odds to be computed.

Polygon L Target Price Odds to finish over 2301.81

The tendency of Polygon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above S 2,302  in 90 days
 3,594 90 days 2,302 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Polygon L to stay above S 2,302  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Polygon L probability density function shows the probability of Polygon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Polygon-L price to stay between S 2,302  and its current price of S3594.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.09 indicating Polygon L market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Polygon L is expected to follow. Additionally Polygon L has an alpha of 0.1393, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Polygon L Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Polygon L

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Polygon-L. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Polygon L's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,5923,5943,596
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,2333,2353,953
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,5553,5573,559
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,5793,6313,683
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Polygon L. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Polygon L's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Polygon L's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Polygon-L.

Polygon L Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Polygon L is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Polygon L's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Polygon L, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Polygon L within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.14
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.09
σ
Overall volatility
249.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Polygon L Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Polygon L for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Polygon-L can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 14.79 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 15.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Polygon-L has a current ratio of 0.19, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Polygon L until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Polygon L's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Polygon-L sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Polygon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Polygon L's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 52.0% of Polygon L outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Polygon L Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Polygon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Polygon L's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Polygon L's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float2.5 M

Polygon L Technical Analysis

Polygon L's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Polygon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Polygon L. In general, you should focus on analyzing Polygon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Polygon L Predictive Forecast Models

Polygon L's time-series forecasting models is one of many Polygon L's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Polygon L's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Polygon-L

Checking the ongoing alerts about Polygon L for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Polygon-L help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 14.79 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 15.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Polygon-L has a current ratio of 0.19, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Polygon L until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Polygon L's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Polygon-L sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Polygon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Polygon L's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 52.0% of Polygon L outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Polygon L Backtesting, Polygon L Valuation, Polygon L Correlation, Polygon L Hype Analysis, Polygon L Volatility, Polygon L History as well as Polygon L Performance.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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When running Polygon L's price analysis, check to measure Polygon L's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Polygon L is operating at the current time. Most of Polygon L's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Polygon L's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Polygon L's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Polygon L to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Polygon L's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Polygon L is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Polygon L's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.