Invesco Aerospace Defense Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 60.33

PPA Etf  USD 101.71  1.52  1.52%   
Invesco Aerospace's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Invesco Aerospace Defense. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Invesco Aerospace based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Invesco Aerospace Defense over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $100.0 is a CALL option contract on Invesco Aerospace's common stock with a strick price of 100.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-26 at 10:15:17 for $1.5 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.4, and an ask price of $2.55. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 12.26. View All Invesco options

Closest to current price Invesco long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Invesco Aerospace's future price is the expected price of Invesco Aerospace instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco Aerospace Defense performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Invesco Aerospace Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Aerospace Correlation, Invesco Aerospace Hype Analysis, Invesco Aerospace Volatility, Invesco Aerospace History as well as Invesco Aerospace Performance.
  
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Invesco Aerospace Target Price Odds to finish over 60.33

The tendency of Invesco Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 60.33  in 90 days
 101.71 90 days 60.33 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Aerospace to stay above $ 60.33  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Invesco Aerospace Defense probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Aerospace Defense price to stay between $ 60.33  and its current price of $101.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Invesco Aerospace has a beta of 0.89 indicating Invesco Aerospace Defense market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Invesco Aerospace is expected to follow. Additionally Invesco Aerospace Defense has an alpha of 0.0511, implying that it can generate a 0.0511 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco Aerospace Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Aerospace

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Aerospace Defense. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Aerospace's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
101.05101.70102.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
91.54106.53107.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
101.62102.26102.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
99.26100.69102.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco Aerospace. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco Aerospace's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco Aerospace's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Invesco Aerospace Defense.

Invesco Aerospace Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Aerospace is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Aerospace's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Aerospace Defense, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Aerospace within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.89
σ
Overall volatility
3.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Invesco Aerospace Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Aerospace for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Aerospace Defense can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from zacks.com: Should You Invest in the SPDR SP Aerospace Defense ETF
The fund maintains 99.95% of its assets in stocks

Invesco Aerospace Technical Analysis

Invesco Aerospace's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Aerospace Defense. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco Aerospace Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco Aerospace's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Aerospace's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Aerospace's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco Aerospace Defense

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Aerospace for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Aerospace Defense help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from zacks.com: Should You Invest in the SPDR SP Aerospace Defense ETF
The fund maintains 99.95% of its assets in stocks
When determining whether Invesco Aerospace Defense offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Invesco Aerospace's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Invesco Aerospace Defense Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Invesco Aerospace Defense Etf:

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When running Invesco Aerospace's price analysis, check to measure Invesco Aerospace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco Aerospace is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco Aerospace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco Aerospace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco Aerospace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco Aerospace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Invesco Aerospace Defense is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Invesco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Invesco Aerospace's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Invesco Aerospace's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Invesco Aerospace's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Invesco Aerospace's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Aerospace's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Aerospace is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Aerospace's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.