Invesco Ftse Rafi Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 111.80

PRF Etf  USD 38.34  0.57  1.51%   
Invesco FTSE's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Invesco FTSE RAFI. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Invesco FTSE based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Invesco FTSE RAFI over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $37.0 is a CALL option contract on Invesco FTSE's common stock with a strick price of 37.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-22 at 09:48:33 for $1.7 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.9, and an ask price of $1.3. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 12.76. View All Invesco options

Closest to current price Invesco long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Invesco FTSE's future price is the expected price of Invesco FTSE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco FTSE RAFI performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Invesco FTSE Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco FTSE Correlation, Invesco FTSE Hype Analysis, Invesco FTSE Volatility, Invesco FTSE History as well as Invesco FTSE Performance.
  
Please specify Invesco FTSE's target price for which you would like Invesco FTSE odds to be computed.

Invesco FTSE Target Price Odds to finish below 111.80

The tendency of Invesco Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 111.80  after 90 days
 38.34 90 days 111.80 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco FTSE to stay under $ 111.80  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Invesco FTSE RAFI probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco FTSE RAFI price to stay between its current price of $ 38.34  and $ 111.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.28 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Invesco FTSE has a beta of 1.0 indicating Invesco FTSE RAFI market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Invesco FTSE is expected to follow. Additionally Invesco FTSE RAFI has an alpha of 0.0162, implying that it can generate a 0.0162 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco FTSE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco FTSE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco FTSE RAFI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco FTSE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.7438.3438.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.5141.9842.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.5538.1538.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.4537.9738.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco FTSE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco FTSE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco FTSE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Invesco FTSE RAFI.

Invesco FTSE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco FTSE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco FTSE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco FTSE RAFI, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco FTSE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.00
σ
Overall volatility
1.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Invesco FTSE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco FTSE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco FTSE RAFI can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Invesco FTSE RAFI US 1000 ETF declares quarterly distribution of 0.1613
The fund maintains 99.95% of its assets in stocks

Invesco FTSE Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Invesco Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Invesco FTSE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invesco FTSE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Invesco FTSE Technical Analysis

Invesco FTSE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco FTSE RAFI. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco FTSE Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco FTSE's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco FTSE's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco FTSE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco FTSE RAFI

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco FTSE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco FTSE RAFI help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Invesco FTSE RAFI US 1000 ETF declares quarterly distribution of 0.1613
The fund maintains 99.95% of its assets in stocks
When determining whether Invesco FTSE RAFI offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Invesco FTSE's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Invesco Ftse Rafi Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Invesco Ftse Rafi Etf:
Check out Invesco FTSE Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco FTSE Correlation, Invesco FTSE Hype Analysis, Invesco FTSE Volatility, Invesco FTSE History as well as Invesco FTSE Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Invesco Etf analysis

When running Invesco FTSE's price analysis, check to measure Invesco FTSE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco FTSE is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco FTSE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco FTSE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco FTSE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco FTSE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Invesco FTSE RAFI is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Invesco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Invesco FTSE's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Invesco FTSE's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Invesco FTSE's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Invesco FTSE's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco FTSE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco FTSE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco FTSE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.