Prudential Financial Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 101.02

PRU -- USA Stock  

USD 82.03  0.19  0.23%

Prudential Financial probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Prudential Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Prudential Financial time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Prudential Financial odds to be computed. Additionally take a look at Prudential Financial Backtesting, Prudential Financial Valuation, Prudential Financial Correlation, Prudential Financial Hype Analysis, Prudential Financial Volatility, Prudential Financial History as well as Prudential Financial Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Prudential Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 101.02

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 101.02  after 30 days
 82.03 30 days 101.02 
ABOUT 72.33%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Prudential Financial to stay under $ 101.02  after 30 days from now is about 72.33% (This Prudential Financial probability density function shows the probability of Prudential Financial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Prudential Financial price to stay between its current price of $ 82.03  and $ 101.02  at the end of the 30-day period is about 68.79%.
Considering 30-days investment horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.2858 . This implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average . However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Prudential Financial will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Prudential Financial is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Prudential Financial Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.37
β
Beta against DOW=1.29
σ
Overall volatility
=7.96
Ir
Information ratio =0.19

Prudential Financial Alerts and Suggestions

Prudential Financial generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Prudential Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has 36.31B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 58.4 . This implies that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Prudential Financial has Current Ratio of 0.61 suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due.
About 67.0% of Prudential Financial shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 2416 shares by Gordon Bethune of Prudential Financial subject to Rule 16b-3

Prudential FinancialPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out1.12%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate3.80
Short Percent Of Float1.11%
Float Shares400.72M
Shares Short Prior Month4.77M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.04M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.94M
Date Short InterestJuly 31, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield4.48%
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