PSIBV 10 (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    PSIBV-10 -- Israel ETF  

    ILS 5,531  76.00  1.39%

    PSIBV 10 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of PSIBV-10 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify PSIBV 10 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like PSIBV 10 odds to be computed. Additionally take a look at Your Equity Center.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    PSIBV 10 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     5,531 30 days 5,531  ABOUT 26.63%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of PSIBV 10 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 26.63% (This PSIBV-10 probability density function shows the probability of PSIBV 10 ETF to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, PSIBV 10 has beta of 0.0085 . This implies as returns on market go up, PSIBV 10 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding PSIBV-10 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0926 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0926% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     PSIBV 10 Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.09
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0085
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =2,575
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.02

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