PSL Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

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PSL -- India Stock  

INR 0.50  0.00  0.00%

PSL probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of PSL LTD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Please specify PSL time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like PSL odds to be computed. Please check PSL Backtesting, PSL Valuation, PSL Correlation, PSL Hype Analysis, PSL Volatility, PSL History as well as PSL Performance.
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PSL Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 0.50 30 days 0.50 
about 37.98
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of PSL to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 37.98 (This PSL LTD probability density function shows the probability of PSL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, PSL LTD has beta of -0.048 . This implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding PSL are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, PSL LTD is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.29 implying that it can potentially generate 0.29% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 PSL Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.29
β
Beta against DOW=-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
=0.09
Ir
Information ratio =0.037725

PSL Alerts and Suggestions

PSL LTD has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
PSL LTD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
PSL LTD has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
PSL LTD has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 44.18 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 238.0 indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. PSL LTD has Current Ratio of 0.84 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
The entity reported revenue of 2.34 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.78 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.54 B.
PSL LIMITED has accumulated about 294.9 M in cash with (50.97 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.36 which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

PSLPrice Density Drivers

Float Shares61.4M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day35.38k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month8.8k
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