Israel Petrochemical (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

PTCH -- Israel Stock  

ILS 421.00  0.00  0.00%

Israel Petrochemical probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Israel Petrochemical Enterprises Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Israel Petrochemical time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Israel Petrochemical odds to be computed. Additionally take a look at Your Equity Center.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Israel Petrochemical Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 421.00 30 days 421.00  ABOUT 75.62%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Israel Petrochemical to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 75.62% (This Israel Petrochemical Enterprises Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Israel Petrochemical Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Israel Petrochemical has beta of 0.7177 . This implies as returns on market go up, Israel Petrochemical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Israel Petrochemical Enterprises Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Israel Petrochemical Enterprises Ltd has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Israel Petrochemical Price Density 
Current Price   Target Price   
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.72
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.08

Israel Petrochemical Alerts

Israel Petrochemical Alerts and Suggestions

Israel Petrochemical is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Israel Petrochemical generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Israel Petrochemical has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company has accumulated 848.37 M in total debt. Israel Petrochemical Enterprises Ltd has Current Ratio of 0.86 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
This company reported revenue of (105.04 M). Net Loss for the year was (94.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 106 K.
ISRAEL PETR INS has accumulated about 403 K in cash with (33.56 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07.
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Price Density Drivers

Israel Petrochemical Health Indicators

Float Shares2.54M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.63k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month6.58k
Additionally take a look at Your Equity Center. Please also try Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot price ceiling movement for different equity instruments.