Israel Petrochemical (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

PTCH -- Israel Stock  

ILS 547.00  8.50  1.58%

Israel Petrochemical probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Israel Petrochemical Enterprises Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Israel Petrochemical time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Israel Petrochemical odds to be computed. Additionally take a look at Your Equity Center.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Israel Petrochemical Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 547.00 30 days 547.00  ABOUT 13.63%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Israel Petrochemical to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 13.63% (This Israel Petrochemical Enterprises Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Israel Petrochemical Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.9063 . This implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average . However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Israel Petrochemical will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1965 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1965% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Israel Petrochemical Price Density 
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=1.91
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.06

Israel Petrochemical Alerts

Israel Petrochemical Alerts and Suggestions

Israel Petrochemical is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Israel Petrochemical appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported revenue of (197.4M). Net Loss for the year was (73.64M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 106K.
ISRAEL PETR INS has accumulated about 417K in cash with (14.77M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07.

Price Density Drivers

Israel Petrochemical Health Indicators

Float Shares2.54M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.94k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.21k
Additionally take a look at Your Equity Center. Please also try World Markets Correlation module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.