Pt Kalbe Farma Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.1
| PTKFF Stock | USD 0.09 0.00 0.00% |
PTKFF |
PT Kalbe Target Price Odds to finish over 0.1
The tendency of PTKFF Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.10 or more in 90 days |
| 0.09 | 90 days | 0.10 | about 13.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Kalbe to move over $ 0.10 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.75 (This PT Kalbe Farma probability density function shows the probability of PTKFF Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PT Kalbe Farma price to stay between its current price of $ 0.09 and $ 0.10 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.5 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon PT Kalbe Farma has a beta of -0.2 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PT Kalbe are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PT Kalbe Farma is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PT Kalbe Farma has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. PT Kalbe Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PT Kalbe
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Kalbe Farma. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PT Kalbe's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PT Kalbe Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Kalbe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Kalbe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Kalbe Farma, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Kalbe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
PT Kalbe Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Kalbe for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Kalbe Farma can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PT Kalbe Farma generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PT Kalbe Farma has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
PT Kalbe Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PTKFF Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PT Kalbe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PT Kalbe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.9 B |
PT Kalbe Technical Analysis
PT Kalbe's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PTKFF Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Kalbe Farma. In general, you should focus on analyzing PTKFF Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PT Kalbe Predictive Forecast Models
PT Kalbe's time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Kalbe's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Kalbe's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PT Kalbe Farma
Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Kalbe for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Kalbe Farma help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PT Kalbe Farma generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PT Kalbe Farma has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out PT Kalbe Backtesting, PT Kalbe Valuation, PT Kalbe Correlation, PT Kalbe Hype Analysis, PT Kalbe Volatility, PT Kalbe History as well as PT Kalbe Performance. Note that the PT Kalbe Farma information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other PT Kalbe's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Complementary Tools for PTKFF Pink Sheet analysis
When running PT Kalbe's price analysis, check to measure PT Kalbe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PT Kalbe is operating at the current time. Most of PT Kalbe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PT Kalbe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PT Kalbe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PT Kalbe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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