Pioneer Natural Resources Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 122.67
| PXD Stock | USD 267.97 0.18 0.07% |
Closest to current price Pioneer long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Pioneer |
Pioneer Natural Target Price Odds to finish below 122.67
The tendency of Pioneer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 122.67 or more in 90 days |
| 267.97 | 90 days | 122.67 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pioneer Natural to drop to $ 122.67 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Pioneer Natural Resources probability density function shows the probability of Pioneer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pioneer Natural Resources price to stay between $ 122.67 and its current price of $267.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.48 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Pioneer Natural has a beta of 0.48 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pioneer Natural average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pioneer Natural Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pioneer Natural Resources has an alpha of 0.2967, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pioneer Natural Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Pioneer Natural
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pioneer Natural Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pioneer Natural's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pioneer Natural Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pioneer Natural is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pioneer Natural's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pioneer Natural Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pioneer Natural within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 18.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.26 |
Pioneer Natural Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pioneer Natural for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pioneer Natural Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pioneer Natural has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 22nd of March 2024 Pioneer Natural paid $ 2.56 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Geospace Technologies Releases Lightweight, Long Lasting Land Seismic Data Acquisition Node |
Pioneer Natural Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pioneer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pioneer Natural's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pioneer Natural's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 242 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 379 M |
Pioneer Natural Technical Analysis
Pioneer Natural's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pioneer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pioneer Natural Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pioneer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pioneer Natural Predictive Forecast Models
Pioneer Natural's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pioneer Natural's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pioneer Natural's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pioneer Natural Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pioneer Natural for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pioneer Natural Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pioneer Natural has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 22nd of March 2024 Pioneer Natural paid $ 2.56 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Geospace Technologies Releases Lightweight, Long Lasting Land Seismic Data Acquisition Node |
Check out Pioneer Natural Backtesting, Pioneer Natural Valuation, Pioneer Natural Correlation, Pioneer Natural Hype Analysis, Pioneer Natural Volatility, Pioneer Natural History as well as Pioneer Natural Performance. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Complementary Tools for Pioneer Stock analysis
When running Pioneer Natural's price analysis, check to measure Pioneer Natural's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pioneer Natural is operating at the current time. Most of Pioneer Natural's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pioneer Natural's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pioneer Natural's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pioneer Natural to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Pioneer Natural's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pioneer Natural. If investors know Pioneer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pioneer Natural listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Dividend Share 13.96 | Earnings Share 20.2 | Revenue Per Share 82.795 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Pioneer Natural Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pioneer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pioneer Natural's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pioneer Natural's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pioneer Natural's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pioneer Natural's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pioneer Natural's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pioneer Natural is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pioneer Natural's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.