Qualitau (Israel) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1669.46

QLTU Stock  ILA 8,538  39.00  0.46%   
Qualitau's future price is the expected price of Qualitau instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Qualitau performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Qualitau Backtesting, Qualitau Valuation, Qualitau Correlation, Qualitau Hype Analysis, Qualitau Volatility, Qualitau History as well as Qualitau Performance.
  
Please specify Qualitau's target price for which you would like Qualitau odds to be computed.

Qualitau Target Price Odds to finish below 1669.46

The tendency of Qualitau Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  1,669  or more in 90 days
 8,538 90 days 1,669 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qualitau to drop to  1,669  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Qualitau probability density function shows the probability of Qualitau Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qualitau price to stay between  1,669  and its current price of 8538.0 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Qualitau has a beta of 0.69 indicating as returns on the market go up, Qualitau average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Qualitau will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Qualitau has an alpha of 0.2302, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Qualitau Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Qualitau

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qualitau. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Qualitau's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8,5368,5388,540
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7,6848,5688,570
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9,0779,0799,080
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8,1718,4288,685
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Qualitau. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Qualitau's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Qualitau's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Qualitau.

Qualitau Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qualitau is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qualitau's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qualitau, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qualitau within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.23
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.69
σ
Overall volatility
323.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Qualitau Technical Analysis

Qualitau's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Qualitau Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qualitau. In general, you should focus on analyzing Qualitau Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Qualitau Predictive Forecast Models

Qualitau's time-series forecasting models is one of many Qualitau's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Qualitau's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Qualitau in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Qualitau's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Qualitau options trading.
Check out Qualitau Backtesting, Qualitau Valuation, Qualitau Correlation, Qualitau Hype Analysis, Qualitau Volatility, Qualitau History as well as Qualitau Performance.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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When running Qualitau's price analysis, check to measure Qualitau's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Qualitau is operating at the current time. Most of Qualitau's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Qualitau's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Qualitau's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Qualitau to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Qualitau's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Qualitau is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Qualitau's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.