Ryder System Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

R -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

Ryder System probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ryder System performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ryder System time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ryder System odds to be computed. Additionally take a look at Ryder System Backtesting, Ryder System Valuation, Ryder System Correlation, Ryder System Hype Analysis, Ryder System Volatility, Ryder System History as well as Ryder System Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Ryder System Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 53.42 30 days 53.42 
about 20.01
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ryder System to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 20.01 (This Ryder System probability density function shows the probability of Ryder System Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.64 . This implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average . However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Ryder System will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Ryder System is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Ryder System Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.02
β
Beta against DOW=1.64
σ
Overall volatility
=1.89
Ir
Information ratio =0.008466

Ryder System Alerts and Suggestions

Ryder System has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its interest payments
The company has accumulated 7.96 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 321.5 implying that the company may be unable to produce cash to meet its debt commitments. Ryder System has Current Ratio of 0.61 which means it has a negative working capital and may have difficulties to pay out interest payments when they become due.
RYDER SYSTEM INC has accumulated about 75.87 M in cash with (1.23 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.42.
Over 92.0% of Ryder System shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Art Garcia of 31295 shares of Ryder System subject to Rule 16b-3

Ryder SystemPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out5.00%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.18
Short Percent Of Float6.66%
Float Shares52.08M
Shares Short Prior Month2.9M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day599.05k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month589.02k
Date Short InterestNovember 15, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield4.26%
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