Royal Unibrew (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 525.00

RBREW Stock  DKK 525.00  11.50  2.14%   
Royal Unibrew's future price is the expected price of Royal Unibrew instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Royal Unibrew AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Royal Unibrew Backtesting, Royal Unibrew Valuation, Royal Unibrew Correlation, Royal Unibrew Hype Analysis, Royal Unibrew Volatility, Royal Unibrew History as well as Royal Unibrew Performance.
  
Please specify Royal Unibrew's target price for which you would like Royal Unibrew odds to be computed.

Royal Unibrew Target Price Odds to finish over 525.00

The tendency of Royal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 525.00 90 days 525.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Royal Unibrew to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Royal Unibrew AS probability density function shows the probability of Royal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Royal Unibrew has a beta of 0.25 indicating as returns on the market go up, Royal Unibrew average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Royal Unibrew AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Royal Unibrew AS has an alpha of 0.3393, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Royal Unibrew Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Royal Unibrew

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Royal Unibrew AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Royal Unibrew's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
522.25525.00527.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
472.50591.98594.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
545.13547.88550.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
395.57485.50575.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Royal Unibrew. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Royal Unibrew's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Royal Unibrew's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Royal Unibrew AS.

Royal Unibrew Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Royal Unibrew is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Royal Unibrew's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Royal Unibrew AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Royal Unibrew within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.34
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.25
σ
Overall volatility
19.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Royal Unibrew Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Royal Unibrew for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Royal Unibrew AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Royal Unibrew AS has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 3 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 116.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Royal Unibrew AS has a current ratio of 0.58, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Royal Unibrew until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Royal Unibrew's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Royal Unibrew AS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Royal to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Royal Unibrew's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 55.0% of Royal Unibrew shares are owned by institutional investors

Royal Unibrew Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Royal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Royal Unibrew's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Royal Unibrew's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding49.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments86 M

Royal Unibrew Technical Analysis

Royal Unibrew's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Royal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Royal Unibrew AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Royal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Royal Unibrew Predictive Forecast Models

Royal Unibrew's time-series forecasting models is one of many Royal Unibrew's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Royal Unibrew's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Royal Unibrew AS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Royal Unibrew for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Royal Unibrew AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Royal Unibrew AS has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 3 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 116.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Royal Unibrew AS has a current ratio of 0.58, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Royal Unibrew until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Royal Unibrew's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Royal Unibrew AS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Royal to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Royal Unibrew's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 55.0% of Royal Unibrew shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Royal Unibrew Backtesting, Royal Unibrew Valuation, Royal Unibrew Correlation, Royal Unibrew Hype Analysis, Royal Unibrew Volatility, Royal Unibrew History as well as Royal Unibrew Performance.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

Complementary Tools for Royal Stock analysis

When running Royal Unibrew's price analysis, check to measure Royal Unibrew's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Royal Unibrew is operating at the current time. Most of Royal Unibrew's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Royal Unibrew's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Royal Unibrew's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Royal Unibrew to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Please note, there is a significant difference between Royal Unibrew's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Royal Unibrew is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Royal Unibrew's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.