Rochester Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0172
| RCTFF Stock | USD 0.01 0.00 0.00% |
Rochester |
Rochester Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0172
The tendency of Rochester Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.02 or more in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rochester Resources to move over $ 0.02 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Rochester Resources probability density function shows the probability of Rochester Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rochester Resources price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01 and $ 0.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Rochester Resources has a beta of 0.19 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rochester Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rochester Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rochester Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Rochester Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Rochester Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rochester Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rochester Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Rochester Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rochester Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rochester Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rochester Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rochester Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Rochester Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rochester Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rochester Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rochester Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Rochester Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Rochester Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Rochester Resources has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company has accumulated 8.35 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.22, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Rochester Resources has a current ratio of 0.14, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Rochester Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Rochester Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Rochester Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Rochester to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Rochester Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 13.82 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 425.32 K. | |
| About 61.0% of Rochester Resources outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Rochester Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rochester Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rochester Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rochester Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.1 M |
Rochester Resources Technical Analysis
Rochester Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rochester Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rochester Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rochester Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Rochester Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Rochester Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Rochester Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rochester Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Rochester Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Rochester Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rochester Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Rochester Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Rochester Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Rochester Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Rochester Resources has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company has accumulated 8.35 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.22, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Rochester Resources has a current ratio of 0.14, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Rochester Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Rochester Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Rochester Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Rochester to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Rochester Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 13.82 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 425.32 K. | |
| About 61.0% of Rochester Resources outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Rochester Resources Backtesting, Rochester Resources Valuation, Rochester Resources Correlation, Rochester Resources Hype Analysis, Rochester Resources Volatility, Rochester Resources History as well as Rochester Resources Performance. Note that the Rochester Resources information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Rochester Resources' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Rochester Pink Sheet analysis
When running Rochester Resources' price analysis, check to measure Rochester Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rochester Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Rochester Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rochester Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rochester Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rochester Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| AI Portfolio Architect Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
| Commodity Channel Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum | |
| Sign In To Macroaxis Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules | |
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Fundamentals Comparison Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities | |
| ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Economic Indicators Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities | |
| Funds Screener Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges | |
| Portfolio Holdings Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing |