Riocan Real Estate Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 26.79

REI-UN Stock  CAD 17.83  0.09  0.50%   
RioCan Real's future price is the expected price of RioCan Real instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of RioCan Real Estate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out RioCan Real Backtesting, RioCan Real Valuation, RioCan Real Correlation, RioCan Real Hype Analysis, RioCan Real Volatility, RioCan Real History as well as RioCan Real Performance.
  
At present, RioCan Real's Price Earnings Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 21.46, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 4.44. Please specify RioCan Real's target price for which you would like RioCan Real odds to be computed.

RioCan Real Target Price Odds to finish over 26.79

The tendency of RioCan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over C$ 26.79  or more in 90 days
 17.83 90 days 26.79 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RioCan Real to move over C$ 26.79  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This RioCan Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of RioCan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RioCan Real Estate price to stay between its current price of C$ 17.83  and C$ 26.79  at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.23 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, RioCan Real will likely underperform. Additionally RioCan Real Estate has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   RioCan Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for RioCan Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RioCan Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of RioCan Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.5517.8319.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.7418.0219.30
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as RioCan Real. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against RioCan Real's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, RioCan Real's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in RioCan Real Estate.

RioCan Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RioCan Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RioCan Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RioCan Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RioCan Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.14
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

RioCan Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RioCan Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RioCan Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
RioCan Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has accumulated 1.27 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.87, which is about average as compared to similar companies. RioCan Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.32, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist RioCan Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, RioCan Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like RioCan Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for RioCan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about RioCan Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Closing Bell Riocan Real Est Un down on Thursday - The Globe and Mail

RioCan Real Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RioCan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RioCan Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RioCan Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding300.5 M

RioCan Real Technical Analysis

RioCan Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RioCan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RioCan Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing RioCan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

RioCan Real Predictive Forecast Models

RioCan Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many RioCan Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RioCan Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about RioCan Real Estate

Checking the ongoing alerts about RioCan Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for RioCan Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
RioCan Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has accumulated 1.27 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.87, which is about average as compared to similar companies. RioCan Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.32, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist RioCan Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, RioCan Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like RioCan Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for RioCan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about RioCan Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Closing Bell Riocan Real Est Un down on Thursday - The Globe and Mail

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When running RioCan Real's price analysis, check to measure RioCan Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy RioCan Real is operating at the current time. Most of RioCan Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of RioCan Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move RioCan Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of RioCan Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between RioCan Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if RioCan Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RioCan Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.