Raiffeisen ETF (Switzerland) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 7001.00
| RGLDS Etf | USD 7,001 7.00 0.1% |
Raiffeisen |
Raiffeisen ETF Target Price Odds to finish over 7001.00
The tendency of Raiffeisen Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 7,001 | 90 days | 7,001 | about 17.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Raiffeisen ETF to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 17.53 (This Raiffeisen ETF Solid probability density function shows the probability of Raiffeisen Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Raiffeisen ETF Solid has a beta of -0.2 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Raiffeisen ETF are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Raiffeisen ETF Solid is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Raiffeisen ETF Solid has an alpha of 0.1933, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Raiffeisen ETF Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Raiffeisen ETF
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Raiffeisen ETF Solid. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Raiffeisen ETF's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Raiffeisen ETF Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Raiffeisen ETF is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Raiffeisen ETF's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Raiffeisen ETF Solid, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Raiffeisen ETF within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 401.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Raiffeisen ETF Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Raiffeisen Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Raiffeisen ETF's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Raiffeisen ETF's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 2 | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 13 |
Raiffeisen ETF Technical Analysis
Raiffeisen ETF's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Raiffeisen Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Raiffeisen ETF Solid. In general, you should focus on analyzing Raiffeisen Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Raiffeisen ETF Predictive Forecast Models
Raiffeisen ETF's time-series forecasting models is one of many Raiffeisen ETF's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Raiffeisen ETF's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Raiffeisen ETF in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Raiffeisen ETF's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Raiffeisen ETF options trading.
Check out Raiffeisen ETF Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Raiffeisen ETF Correlation, Raiffeisen ETF Hype Analysis, Raiffeisen ETF Volatility, Raiffeisen ETF History as well as Raiffeisen ETF Performance. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Raiffeisen ETF's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Raiffeisen ETF is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Raiffeisen ETF's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.