Raymond James Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 82.79
RJF Stock | USD 123.60 1.64 1.34% |
Closest to current price Raymond long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Raymond |
Raymond James Target Price Odds to finish over 82.79
The tendency of Raymond Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 82.79 in 90 days |
123.60 | 90 days | 82.79 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Raymond James to stay above $ 82.79 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Raymond James Financial probability density function shows the probability of Raymond Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Raymond James Financial price to stay between $ 82.79 and its current price of $123.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.02 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Raymond James has a beta of 0.97 indicating Raymond James Financial market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Raymond James is expected to follow. Additionally Raymond James Financial has an alpha of 0.1104, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Raymond James Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Raymond James
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Raymond James Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Raymond James' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Raymond James Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Raymond James is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Raymond James' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Raymond James Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Raymond James within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Raymond James Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Raymond James for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Raymond James Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Raymond James Financial has about 6.18 B in cash with (3.51 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 108.93. | |
Raymond James has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
On 15th of April 2024 Raymond James paid $ 0.45 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 179 shares by Reid Shannon B of Raymond James subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Raymond James Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Raymond Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Raymond James' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Raymond James' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 216.9 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.5 B |
Raymond James Technical Analysis
Raymond James' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Raymond Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Raymond James Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Raymond Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Raymond James Predictive Forecast Models
Raymond James' time-series forecasting models is one of many Raymond James' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Raymond James' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Raymond James Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Raymond James for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Raymond James Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Raymond James Financial has about 6.18 B in cash with (3.51 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 108.93. | |
Raymond James has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
On 15th of April 2024 Raymond James paid $ 0.45 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 179 shares by Reid Shannon B of Raymond James subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Raymond James Backtesting, Raymond James Valuation, Raymond James Correlation, Raymond James Hype Analysis, Raymond James Volatility, Raymond James History as well as Raymond James Performance. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Raymond Stock analysis
When running Raymond James' price analysis, check to measure Raymond James' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Raymond James is operating at the current time. Most of Raymond James' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Raymond James' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Raymond James' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Raymond James to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Raymond James' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Raymond James. If investors know Raymond will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Raymond James listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.009 | Dividend Share 1.71 | Earnings Share 7.99 | Revenue Per Share 55.841 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.083 |
The market value of Raymond James Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Raymond that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Raymond James' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Raymond James' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Raymond James' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Raymond James' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Raymond James' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Raymond James is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Raymond James' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.