Capital World Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 52.86

RWIFX Fund  USD 64.83  0.37  0.57%   
Capital World's future price is the expected price of Capital World instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Capital World Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Capital World Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Capital World Correlation, Capital World Hype Analysis, Capital World Volatility, Capital World History as well as Capital World Performance.
  
Please specify Capital World's target price for which you would like Capital World odds to be computed.

Capital World Target Price Odds to finish below 52.86

The tendency of Capital Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 52.86  or more in 90 days
 64.83 90 days 52.86 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital World to drop to $ 52.86  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Capital World Growth probability density function shows the probability of Capital Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital World Growth price to stay between $ 52.86  and its current price of $64.83 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.83 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Capital World has a beta of 0.96 indicating Capital World Growth market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Capital World is expected to follow. Additionally Capital World Growth has an alpha of 0.0068, implying that it can generate a 0.006811 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Capital World Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Capital World

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital World Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capital World's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.1964.8365.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.3570.6671.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
63.9064.5465.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
64.3164.6264.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Capital World. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Capital World's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Capital World's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Capital World Growth.

Capital World Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital World is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital World's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital World Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital World within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.96
σ
Overall volatility
1.90
Ir
Information ratio 0

Capital World Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital World for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital World Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 8.11% of its assets in cash

Capital World Technical Analysis

Capital World's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital World Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Capital World Predictive Forecast Models

Capital World's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital World's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capital World's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Capital World Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital World for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital World Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 8.11% of its assets in cash
Check out Capital World Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Capital World Correlation, Capital World Hype Analysis, Capital World Volatility, Capital World History as well as Capital World Performance.
Note that the Capital World Growth information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Capital World's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Capital Mutual Fund analysis

When running Capital World's price analysis, check to measure Capital World's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital World is operating at the current time. Most of Capital World's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital World's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital World's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital World to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital World's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capital World is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital World's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.