Safe T (Israel) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.00

SAFE Stock   852.00  32.00  3.90%   
Safe T's future price is the expected price of Safe T instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Safe T Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Safe T Backtesting, Safe T Valuation, Safe T Correlation, Safe T Hype Analysis, Safe T Volatility, Safe T History as well as Safe T Performance.
  
Please specify Safe T's target price for which you would like Safe T odds to be computed.

Safe T Target Price Odds to finish below 0.00

The tendency of Safe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.00  or more in 90 days
 852.00 90 days 0.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Safe T to drop to  0.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Safe T Group probability density function shows the probability of Safe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Safe T Group price to stay between  0.00  and its current price of 852.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Safe T has a beta of 0.36. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Safe T average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Safe T Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. In addition to that Safe T Group has an alpha of 2.4063, implying that it can generate a 2.41 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Safe T Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Safe T

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Safe T Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Safe T's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
844.59852.00859.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
749.12756.52937.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
770.77778.19785.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
811.16841.33871.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Safe T. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Safe T's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Safe T's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Safe T Group.

Safe T Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Safe T is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Safe T's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Safe T Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Safe T within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
2.41
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.36
σ
Overall volatility
214.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.28

Safe T Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Safe T for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Safe T Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Safe T Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Safe T Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Safe T Group has accumulated about 1.61 M in cash with (5.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.

Safe T Technical Analysis

Safe T's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Safe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Safe T Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Safe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Safe T Predictive Forecast Models

Safe T's time-series forecasting models is one of many Safe T's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Safe T's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Safe T Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Safe T for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Safe T Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Safe T Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Safe T Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Safe T Group has accumulated about 1.61 M in cash with (5.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Check out Safe T Backtesting, Safe T Valuation, Safe T Correlation, Safe T Hype Analysis, Safe T Volatility, Safe T History as well as Safe T Performance.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

Complementary Tools for Safe Stock analysis

When running Safe T's price analysis, check to measure Safe T's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Safe T is operating at the current time. Most of Safe T's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Safe T's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Safe T's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Safe T to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Safe T's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Safe T is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Safe T's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.