Sanwaria Consumer (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

SANWARIA -- India Stock  

INR 13.55  0.70  5.45%

Sanwaria Consumer probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Sanwaria Consumer Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Sanwaria Consumer time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Sanwaria Consumer odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Sanwaria Consumer Backtesting, Sanwaria Consumer Valuation, Sanwaria Consumer Correlation, Sanwaria Consumer Hype Analysis, Sanwaria Consumer Volatility, Sanwaria Consumer History as well as Sanwaria Consumer Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Sanwaria Consumer Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 13.55 30 days 13.55  ABOUT 80.58%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Sanwaria Consumer to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 80.58% (This Sanwaria Consumer Limited probability density function shows the probability of Sanwaria Consumer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.7109 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Sanwaria Consumer will likely underperform. Additionally Sanwaria Consumer Limited has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Sanwaria Consumer Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.76
β
Beta against DOW=1.71
σ
Overall volatility
=0.46
Ir
Information ratio =0.22

Sanwaria Consumer Alerts

Sanwaria Consumer Alerts and Suggestions

Sanwaria Consumer generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Sanwaria Consumer has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Sanwaria Consumer has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from mtlnewsjournal.com: Sanwaria Consumer Limited Sees Value Drop -1.06 percent For the Week
Also please take a look at Sanwaria Consumer Backtesting, Sanwaria Consumer Valuation, Sanwaria Consumer Correlation, Sanwaria Consumer Hype Analysis, Sanwaria Consumer Volatility, Sanwaria Consumer History as well as Sanwaria Consumer Performance. Please also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
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