Scope Metals (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8,738

SCOP Stock  ILA 12,990  190.00  1.48%   
Scope Metals' future price is the expected price of Scope Metals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Scope Metals Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Scope Metals Backtesting, Scope Metals Valuation, Scope Metals Correlation, Scope Metals Hype Analysis, Scope Metals Volatility, Scope Metals History as well as Scope Metals Performance.
  
Please specify Scope Metals' target price for which you would like Scope Metals odds to be computed.

Scope Metals Target Price Odds to finish over 8,738

The tendency of Scope Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12,990 90 days 12,990 
nearly 4.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Scope Metals to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.87 (This Scope Metals Group probability density function shows the probability of Scope Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Scope Metals has a beta of 0.26. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Scope Metals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Scope Metals Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Scope Metals Group has an alpha of 0.2981, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Scope Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Scope Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scope Metals Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Scope Metals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12,98812,99012,992
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11,69114,66714,669
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12,79312,79512,797
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12,74812,92713,106
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Scope Metals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Scope Metals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Scope Metals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Scope Metals Group.

Scope Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Scope Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Scope Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Scope Metals Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Scope Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.30
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.26
σ
Overall volatility
776.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Scope Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Scope Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Scope Metals Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Scope Metals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Scope Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Scope Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Scope Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.5 M

Scope Metals Technical Analysis

Scope Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Scope Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Scope Metals Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Scope Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Scope Metals Predictive Forecast Models

Scope Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Scope Metals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Scope Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Scope Metals Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Scope Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Scope Metals Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Scope Metals Backtesting, Scope Metals Valuation, Scope Metals Correlation, Scope Metals Hype Analysis, Scope Metals Volatility, Scope Metals History as well as Scope Metals Performance.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Scope Stock analysis

When running Scope Metals' price analysis, check to measure Scope Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Scope Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Scope Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Scope Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Scope Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Scope Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Scope Metals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Scope Metals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Scope Metals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.