Sears Holdings (Germany) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

SEE -- Germany Stock  

EUR 0.60  0.06  9.09%

Sears Holdings probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Sears Holdings Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Sears Holdings time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Sears Holdings odds to be computed. Also please take a look at World Market Map.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Sears Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 0.60 30 days 0.60  UNDER 95%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Sears Holdings to move above current price in 30 days from now is under 95% (This Sears Holdings Corporation probability density function shows the probability of Sears Holdings Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Sears Holdings has beta of 0.9719 . This entails Sears Holdings Corporation market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, Sears Holdings is expected to follow. Additionally Sears Holdings Corporation has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Sears Holdings Price Density 
Current Price   Target Price   
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.97
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.63

Sears Holdings Alerts

Sears Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

Sears Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Sears Holdings generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Sears Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Sears Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Sears Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 5.53 B in total debt. Sears Holdings Corporation has Current Ratio of 0.78 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
This company reported revenue of 15.39 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.05 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.84 B.
SEARS HOLDINGS has accumulated about 186 M in cash with (2.11 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.72 which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Price Density Drivers

Sears Holdings Health Indicators

Float Shares37.08M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.4k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month757
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