Sears Holdings (Germany) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

SEE -- Germany Stock  

EUR 0.68  0.00  0.00%

Sears Holdings probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Sears Holdings Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Sears Holdings time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Sears Holdings odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Sears Holdings Backtesting, Sears Holdings Valuation, Sears Holdings Correlation, Sears Holdings Hype Analysis, Sears Holdings Volatility, Sears Holdings History as well as Sears Holdings Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Sears Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 0.68 30 days 0.68  ABOUT 25.25%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Sears Holdings to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 25.25% (This Sears Holdings Corporation probability density function shows the probability of Sears Holdings Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 14.0757 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average . However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Sears Holdings will likely underperform. In addition to that The company has an alpha of 2.3071 implying that it can potentially generate 2.3071% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Sears Holdings Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=2.31
β
Beta against DOW=14.08
σ
Overall volatility
=0.26
Ir
Information ratio =0.15

Sears Holdings Alerts

Sears Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

Sears Holdings generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Sears Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Sears Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Sears Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 5.84B in total debt. Sears Holdings has Current Ratio of 0.75 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
The entity reported revenue of 13.46B. Net Loss for the year was (1.7B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.84B.
SEARS HOLDINGS has accumulated about 526M in cash with (1.06B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.82 which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Price Density Drivers

Sears Holdings Health Indicators

Float Shares31.83M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day8.3k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month5.54k
Also please take a look at Sears Holdings Backtesting, Sears Holdings Valuation, Sears Holdings Correlation, Sears Holdings Hype Analysis, Sears Holdings Volatility, Sears Holdings History as well as Sears Holdings Performance. Please also try Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
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