Sino Bioenergy Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0155

SFBE Stock  USD 0.0008  0.0004  100.00%   
Sino Bioenergy's future price is the expected price of Sino Bioenergy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sino Bioenergy Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sino Bioenergy Backtesting, Sino Bioenergy Valuation, Sino Bioenergy Correlation, Sino Bioenergy Hype Analysis, Sino Bioenergy Volatility, Sino Bioenergy History as well as Sino Bioenergy Performance.
  
Please specify Sino Bioenergy's target price for which you would like Sino Bioenergy odds to be computed.

Sino Bioenergy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0155

The tendency of Sino Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.02  after 90 days
 0.0008 90 days 0.02 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sino Bioenergy to stay under $ 0.02  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Sino Bioenergy Corp probability density function shows the probability of Sino Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sino Bioenergy Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0008  and $ 0.02  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Sino Bioenergy Corp has a beta of -0.91. This usually implies Moreover Sino Bioenergy Corp has an alpha of 1.5464, implying that it can generate a 1.55 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sino Bioenergy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sino Bioenergy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sino Bioenergy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sino Bioenergy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000512.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000512.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00002012.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00020.00050.0008
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sino Bioenergy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sino Bioenergy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sino Bioenergy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sino Bioenergy Corp.

Sino Bioenergy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sino Bioenergy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sino Bioenergy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sino Bioenergy Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sino Bioenergy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
1.55
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.91
σ
Overall volatility
0.0001
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Sino Bioenergy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sino Bioenergy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sino Bioenergy Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sino Bioenergy Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Sino Bioenergy Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Sino Bioenergy Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 864.46 K. Net Loss for the year was (316.2 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Sino Bioenergy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sino Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sino Bioenergy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sino Bioenergy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Short Long Term Debt9.9 M

Sino Bioenergy Technical Analysis

Sino Bioenergy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sino Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sino Bioenergy Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sino Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sino Bioenergy Predictive Forecast Models

Sino Bioenergy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sino Bioenergy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sino Bioenergy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sino Bioenergy Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sino Bioenergy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sino Bioenergy Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sino Bioenergy Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Sino Bioenergy Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Sino Bioenergy Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 864.46 K. Net Loss for the year was (316.2 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Check out Sino Bioenergy Backtesting, Sino Bioenergy Valuation, Sino Bioenergy Correlation, Sino Bioenergy Hype Analysis, Sino Bioenergy Volatility, Sino Bioenergy History as well as Sino Bioenergy Performance.
Note that the Sino Bioenergy Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Sino Bioenergy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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When running Sino Bioenergy's price analysis, check to measure Sino Bioenergy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sino Bioenergy is operating at the current time. Most of Sino Bioenergy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sino Bioenergy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sino Bioenergy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sino Bioenergy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Sino Bioenergy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sino Bioenergy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sino Bioenergy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.