Softbank Group Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 49.40
SFTBF Stock | USD 49.40 1.77 3.72% |
Softbank |
Softbank Group Target Price Odds to finish over 49.40
The tendency of Softbank Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
49.40 | 90 days | 49.40 | about 77.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Softbank Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 77.17 (This Softbank Group Corp probability density function shows the probability of Softbank Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.66 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Softbank Group will likely underperform. Additionally Softbank Group Corp has an alpha of 0.0593, implying that it can generate a 0.0593 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Softbank Group Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Softbank Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Softbank Group Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Softbank Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Softbank Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Softbank Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Softbank Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Softbank Group Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Softbank Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Softbank Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Softbank Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Softbank Group Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Softbank Group Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
Softbank Group Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
The company has accumulated 14.13 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.34, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Softbank Group Corp has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Softbank Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Softbank Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Softbank Group Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Softbank to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Softbank Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
The entity reported the revenue of 6.22 T. Net Loss for the year was (1.71 T) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.27 T. | |
About 30.0% of Softbank Group outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Softbank Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Softbank Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Softbank Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Softbank Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B |
Softbank Group Technical Analysis
Softbank Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Softbank Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Softbank Group Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Softbank Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Softbank Group Predictive Forecast Models
Softbank Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Softbank Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Softbank Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Softbank Group Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Softbank Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Softbank Group Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Softbank Group Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
Softbank Group Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
The company has accumulated 14.13 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.34, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Softbank Group Corp has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Softbank Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Softbank Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Softbank Group Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Softbank to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Softbank Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
The entity reported the revenue of 6.22 T. Net Loss for the year was (1.71 T) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.27 T. | |
About 30.0% of Softbank Group outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Softbank Group Backtesting, Softbank Group Valuation, Softbank Group Correlation, Softbank Group Hype Analysis, Softbank Group Volatility, Softbank Group History as well as Softbank Group Performance. Note that the Softbank Group Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Softbank Group's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Complementary Tools for Softbank Pink Sheet analysis
When running Softbank Group's price analysis, check to measure Softbank Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Softbank Group is operating at the current time. Most of Softbank Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Softbank Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Softbank Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Softbank Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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