Stein Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 0.525

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SMRT -- USA Stock  

USD 0.34  0.03  8.11%

Stein Mart probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Stein Mart performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 28.17 in 2020, whereas Price to Book Value is likely to drop 1.79 in 2020.

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Please specify Stein Mart time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Stein Mart odds to be computed. Additionally, take a look at Stein Mart Backtesting, Stein Mart Valuation, Stein Mart Correlation, Stein Mart Hype Analysis, Stein Mart Volatility, Stein Mart History as well as Stein Mart Performance.
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Stein Mart Target Price Odds to finish over 0.525

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 0.53  or more in 30 days
 0.34 30 days 0.53 
roughly 2.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stein Mart to move over $ 0.53  or more in 30 days from now is roughly 2.15 (This Stein Mart probability density function shows the probability of Stein Mart Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Stein Mart price to stay between its current price of $ 0.34  and $ 0.53  at the end of the 30-day period is about 57.26 .
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Stein Mart has a beta of -0.4149. This usually implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Stein Mart are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Stein Mart is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1178, implying that it can potentially generate 0.12% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Stein Mart Price Density 
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=-0.41
Overall volatility
Information ratio =-0.02

Stein Mart Alerts and Suggestions

Stein Mart has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
Stein Mart has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company currently holds 591.04 M in liabilities. Stein Mart has a current ratio of 0.64, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due.
The entity reported previous year revenue of 1.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (80.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 335.43 M.
STEIN MART INC currently holds about 2.21 M in cash with (59.15 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Roughly 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Stein MartPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out1.24%
Short Percent Of Float1.85%
Float Shares29.49M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.69M
Shares Short Prior Month916.26k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.74M
Date Short Interest15th of June 2020
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