Sotherly Hotels Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.83
| SOHO Stock | USD 1.34 0.07 5.51% |
Sotherly |
Sotherly Hotels Target Price Odds to finish below 6.83
The tendency of Sotherly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 6.83 after 90 days |
| 1.34 | 90 days | 6.83 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sotherly Hotels to stay under $ 6.83 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Sotherly Hotels probability density function shows the probability of Sotherly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sotherly Hotels price to stay between its current price of $ 1.34 and $ 6.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.8 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.18 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sotherly Hotels will likely underperform. Additionally Sotherly Hotels has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Sotherly Hotels Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sotherly Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sotherly Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sotherly Hotels' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sotherly Hotels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sotherly Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sotherly Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sotherly Hotels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sotherly Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Sotherly Hotels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sotherly Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sotherly Hotels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sotherly Hotels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sotherly Hotels may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company currently holds 317.53 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 7.56, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sotherly Hotels has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Sotherly Hotels until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sotherly Hotels' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sotherly Hotels sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sotherly to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sotherly Hotels' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Sotherly Hotels has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 14.0% of Sotherly Hotels outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from nypost.com: Fiend rapes, threatens to shoot woman, 23, after following her into NYC building |
Sotherly Hotels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sotherly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sotherly Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sotherly Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26.2 M |
Sotherly Hotels Technical Analysis
Sotherly Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sotherly Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sotherly Hotels. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sotherly Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sotherly Hotels Predictive Forecast Models
Sotherly Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sotherly Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sotherly Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sotherly Hotels
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sotherly Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sotherly Hotels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sotherly Hotels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sotherly Hotels may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company currently holds 317.53 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 7.56, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sotherly Hotels has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Sotherly Hotels until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sotherly Hotels' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sotherly Hotels sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sotherly to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sotherly Hotels' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Sotherly Hotels has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 14.0% of Sotherly Hotels outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from nypost.com: Fiend rapes, threatens to shoot woman, 23, after following her into NYC building |
Check out Sotherly Hotels Backtesting, Sotherly Hotels Valuation, Sotherly Hotels Correlation, Sotherly Hotels Hype Analysis, Sotherly Hotels Volatility, Sotherly Hotels History as well as Sotherly Hotels Performance. To learn how to invest in Sotherly Stock, please use our How to Invest in Sotherly Hotels guide.Note that the Sotherly Hotels information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Sotherly Hotels' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for Sotherly Stock analysis
When running Sotherly Hotels' price analysis, check to measure Sotherly Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sotherly Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of Sotherly Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sotherly Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sotherly Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sotherly Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Sotherly Hotels' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sotherly Hotels. If investors know Sotherly will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sotherly Hotels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.88) | Earnings Share (0.22) | Revenue Per Share 9.213 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.015 | Return On Assets 0.0292 |
The market value of Sotherly Hotels is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sotherly that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sotherly Hotels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sotherly Hotels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sotherly Hotels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sotherly Hotels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sotherly Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sotherly Hotels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sotherly Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.