Sparinvest Nye (Denmark) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 93.40

SPINOBKLA  DKK 93.40  1.50  1.58%   
Sparinvest Nye's future price is the expected price of Sparinvest Nye instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sparinvest Nye Obligationsmarkeder performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sparinvest Nye Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Sparinvest Nye Correlation, Sparinvest Nye Hype Analysis, Sparinvest Nye Volatility, Sparinvest Nye History as well as Sparinvest Nye Performance.
  
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Sparinvest Nye Target Price Odds to finish over 93.40

The tendency of Sparinvest Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 93.40 90 days 93.40 
about 46.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sparinvest Nye to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 46.78 (This Sparinvest Nye Obligationsmarkeder probability density function shows the probability of Sparinvest Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sparinvest Nye Obligationsmarkeder has a beta of -0.0181. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sparinvest Nye are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sparinvest Nye Obligationsmarkeder is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sparinvest Nye Obligationsmarkeder has an alpha of 0.0195, implying that it can generate a 0.0195 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sparinvest Nye Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sparinvest Nye

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sparinvest Nye Oblig. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sparinvest Nye's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.0093.4093.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.6791.07102.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93.0893.4993.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
93.5494.7295.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sparinvest Nye. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sparinvest Nye's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sparinvest Nye's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sparinvest Nye Oblig.

Sparinvest Nye Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sparinvest Nye is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sparinvest Nye's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sparinvest Nye Obligationsmarkeder, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sparinvest Nye within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Sparinvest Nye Technical Analysis

Sparinvest Nye's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sparinvest Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sparinvest Nye Obligationsmarkeder. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sparinvest Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sparinvest Nye Predictive Forecast Models

Sparinvest Nye's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sparinvest Nye's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sparinvest Nye's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Sparinvest Nye in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Sparinvest Nye's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Sparinvest Nye options trading.
Check out Sparinvest Nye Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Sparinvest Nye Correlation, Sparinvest Nye Hype Analysis, Sparinvest Nye Volatility, Sparinvest Nye History as well as Sparinvest Nye Performance.
You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sparinvest Nye's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sparinvest Nye is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sparinvest Nye's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.